Game Result Predictions
Thursday, February 21
Thursday, February 21
The R1 Prediction calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Dave Aaron Arena | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Southeast Missouri (11-17, Road 5-10) |
54 | 62 | +6.0 | 30% | 130 | ✔ | 62 | +6.0 | 11% | ✔ | |
|
Austin Peay (13-15, Home 9-4) |
56 | 68 | -6.0 | 70% | Actual: 110 (-20) |
68 | -6.0 | 89% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Curb Event Center | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Eastern Illinois (8-18, Road 1-13) |
57 | 55 | +24.0 | 4% | 134 | ✔ | 49 | +36.0 | 0% | ✔ | |
|
Belmont (26-7, Home 11-2) |
98 | 79 | -24.0 | 96% | Actual: 155 (21) |
85 | -36.0 | 100% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Pete Mathews Coliseum | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Morehead State (22-11, Road 10-7) |
57 | 65 | -3.0 | 61% | 127 | ✘ | 66 | -6.5 | 91% | ✘ | |
|
Jacksonville State (14-15, Home 6-6) |
68 | 62 | +3.0 | 39% | Actual: 125 (-2) |
59 | +6.5 | 9% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| CFSB Center | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Tennessee-Martin (21-9, Road 7-7) |
73 | 79 | -6.0 | 70% | 152 | ✘ | 81 | -10.0 | 97% | ✘ | |
|
Murray State (11-17, Home 8-5) |
76 | 73 | +6.0 | 30% | Actual: 149 (-3) |
71 | +10.0 | 3% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Gentry Center | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
SIUE (12-16, Road 6-11) |
66 | 66 | -7.0 | 73% | 125 | ✔ | 64 | -5.5 | 87% | ✔ | |
|
Tennessee State (5-25, Home 3-7) |
55 | 59 | +7.0 | 27% | Actual: 121 (-4) |
59 | +5.5 | 13% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Hooper Eblen Center | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Eastern Kentucky (0-27, Road 0-14) |
57 | 51 | +25.0 | 3% | 127 | ✔ | 48 | +29.0 | 0% | ✔ | |
|
Tennessee Tech (20-11, Home 10-3) |
77 | 76 | -25.0 | 97% | Actual: 134 (7) |
77 | -29.0 | 100% | |||